Turkey - 03

Turkey: The Power Balance between Erdogan and Davutoglu: November Elections and G-20 Summit

Following 1 November snap general elections, a significant divide has emerged among the Turkish analytical community. Since an overwhelming majority of reputable experts and polling organizations – including the majority of senior Justice and Development Party (AKP) members – failed to predict the election results, these observers entered into a debate over whether the election results strengthened the position of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, or Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu. Those who believe the elections strengthened Erdogan’s position asserted that the AKP’s favorable results stemmed mainly from returning June absentee voters who had voted for Erdogan’s persona.

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