After Mugabe: Political and Commercial Outlook for Mining Investors in Zimbabwe

Robert Mugabe’s ouster and replacement with Emmerson Mnangagwa as president have raised hopes of Zimbabwe’s emergence from international isolation and a new dawn for its minerals sector. However, the country’s political and economic outlook remains precarious. Mnangagwa is a Mugabe regime insider who will find it difficult to dissociate himself from his predecessor’s legacy. The elections held in July allowed Mnangagwa to retain the presidency with a thin margin, albeit at the cost of civil unrest amid allegations of fraud and voter intimidation. In the near term, Mnangagwa will seek to consolidate his power base and exercise stronger control over the ruling Zanu-PF party. The opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) will continue to contest the electoral results under its new leader, Nelson Chamisa.
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